Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 1.184194 1.348019 1.526388 1.735041 1.972481 2.234347 2.545173
2025-11-30 0.918148 1.137512 1.397172 1.727345 2.136332 2.626791 3.260423
2025-12-07 0.756912 0.994382 1.292228 1.693531 2.220793 2.890990 3.809464
2025-12-14 0.638001 0.879305 1.196629 1.644924 2.263046 3.087129 4.272548
2025-12-21 0.557809 0.801398 1.135141 1.626438 2.332850 3.314513 4.787401
2025-12-28 0.516340 0.770010 1.130608 1.681437 2.503868 3.690193 5.539026
2026-01-04 0.460831 0.710929 1.078557 1.659344 2.556774 3.896015 6.056654
2026-01-11 0.430131 0.684801 1.070981 1.700472 2.704708 4.251475 6.828681
2026-01-18 0.395344 0.648183 1.042877 1.705322 2.794111 4.521382 7.487420
2026-01-25 0.359356 0.605676 1.000829 1.682529 2.834846 4.714444 8.035045
2026-02-01 0.324856 0.562023 0.952444 1.643742 2.843756 4.853419 8.500722
2026-02-08 0.298827 0.530051 0.920189 1.628384 2.889358 5.054986 9.087950
2026-02-15 0.276543 0.504999 0.901706 1.643030 3.002711 5.407559 10.022905
2026-02-22 0.252124 0.474092 0.870856 1.634296 3.077036 5.705634 10.906107
2026-03-01 0.227562 0.439975 0.830243 1.602359 3.103568 5.916976 11.646501
2026-03-08 0.204219 0.405479 0.785098 1.556388 3.097328 6.064241 12.276162
2026-03-15 0.187090 0.381109 0.756462 1.538905 3.143701 6.315183 13.135618
2026-03-22 0.179557 0.375005 0.762569 1.590920 3.333907 6.867185 14.666836
2026-03-29 0.165047 0.353017 0.734639 1.570026 3.371356 7.112796 15.581136
2026-04-05 0.157789 0.345445 0.735308 1.608922 3.538310 7.642234 17.161300
2026-04-12 0.147983 0.331338 0.720824 1.613509 3.631106 8.022418 18.452009
2026-04-19 0.136844 0.313124 0.695716 1.591953 3.663389 8.273299 19.475956
2026-04-26 0.125546 0.293386 0.665327 1.555270 3.657293 8.437395 20.315214